What is the best way to address the question of nuclear proliferation in the coming century? In this paper I will state my views on the inevitability of nuclear proliferation and the views of others, as well as addressing what will come of the vertical proliferation of nuclear technology and delivery systems. The potential use of nuclear weapons continues to pose one of the greatest immediate dangers to world security (Zachary.D,p106?) Everything depends on how proliferation is managed. Mismanaged proliferation could produce disaster and well managed proliferation could reduce the threat of a nuclear war and other threats.
The dangers that could arise from mismanaged proliferation are profound and numerous. There is the danger that the proliferation process itself could give one of the existing nuclear powers a strong incentive to stop a non-nuclear neighbor from joining the nuclear club, like how Israel used force to stop Iraq from acquiring a nuclear capability. There is also the danger that an unstable nuclear competition could emerge among the new nuclear states like India and Pakistan. They might lack the resources to make their nuclear forces invulnerable, which could create first-strike incentives. Also, there
I think that nuclear proliferation is inevitable and that the nuclear deterrence power of the US will be greater than other states because of the accuracy and power of our nukes and delivery systems. Some states that are making nukes are as much as 20 years behind the US. People shouldn't fear nuclear attacks any time soon they should fear Chemical and biological warfare, because nukes destroy cities and biological weapons destroy humans. Son in con collusion the present situation with nuclear proliferation is safe and will continue spread and will be reasonably safe. And when everybody has a nuke and realizes that there is no benefit to using a nuke because of the consequences they will be obsolete but will never go away.
If the NPT were one hundred percent affective from now on it would bring on a whole new set of problems much worse than everyone having nukes. If nuclear proliferation were stopped dead in its tracks the states left out of the nuclear club would revert to using biological and chemical weapons that are uncontrollable, and pose a threat not only to the attacked country but the whole world. The NPT could be a little better at slowing horizontal proliferation but the dangerous thing will be when vertical proliferation happens and all the small states have accurate delivery systems. So the knowledge of how to make a nuke is not as dangerous
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