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Population

Throughout history, the thought of overpopulation has always concerned scientists. There have been quite a few theories about what would happen to the world if the population were to grow to a size breaking earth's carrying capacity. Of these theories, the two most probable are the Malthusian Theory and the Demographic Transition Theory.

Thomas Malthus, an English clergyman, wrote an essay in 1798, which is the basis of the Malthusian Theory. Malthus wrote that the rate of population growth increases at a geometric rate: 1, 2, 4, 8, 16... while the earth's seemingly infinite supply of food is really quite finite, increasing at an arithmetic rate: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5... He believed that as our supply of food decreased, culture and law


s would fall. Famine, death and war would prevail. Two things that will affect these events are positive checks and preventive checks. Positive checks such as war, famine and disease have an immediate effect in reducing the size of the population. On the other hand, preventive checks such as late marriage, abstinence, and altruism stop or slow positive checks. The problem with this theory is that Malthus did not take into consideration the impact that culture has on the population. He also lacked the technology and statistics that are available today. Another theory that has recently developed is the Demographic Transition Theory.

It is possible that the Malthusian Theory can tie into the Transitional Stage of the Demographic Transition Theory,

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Approximate Word count = 505
Approximate Pages = 2 (250 words per page double spaced)


  

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