A decade passed on and Saddam is still in power. Economic sanctions, containment's, no-fly zones, organizing opposition groups and attempts to stir up coups have all failed to loosen Saddam's grip on power. Instead the tactics that have been used to oust Saddam since 1991 have created an Iraq that will be a source of instability in the middles east for years to come. First, the Bush administration's basic goal after the Gulf War was to overthrow Saddam. (Using post-war constraints, like sanctions and no-fly zones.) They aimed at keeping the regime weak to promote Saddam's overthrow. The question always was what were the risks in leaving Saddam in power versus the risk in ousting him. Bush believed that Saddam (Sooner or later) would be overthrown in a coup making it time for new leader and a new beginning. And if this didn't happen then the Bush administration was prepared to overthrow him by other means. However, this did not happen because Clinton changed that policy. The policy toward Iraq basically consisted of maintaining sanction rather tha
The problem of the opposition is that they are fragmented and not coordinated. None of the opposition groups has come up with a realistic strategy to remove saddam. Failed Iraqi military coups of 1991 and 1996 had left the Iraqi opposition in apparent disarray .The Iraqi opposition hopes that with the backing of US combined with renewed political unity will fuel a successful campaign against saddam. But the question that need to be asked: how will this weak and fragmented opposition take on saddam, whose regime well protected behind his army, a powerful republican guard and a strong security force?
that if saddam is deposed and Iraq is thrown into chaos, Iran, Syria or Turkey will gain influence . Moreover, the ouster of saddam would increase us influence over Iraq and thus Iraqi elite would prefer saddam to a western dominion.
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